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Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

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  • Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

    3 days. 5 attempts at Scorpion Harness. 3 Critical Failures. 9 million gil down the drain.

    So that means I now have 8 HQs and 5 lost V. Claws in 40 attempts. Strangely enough, 4 of those 5 critical failures have happened in South Sandy.

    I'm not too proud to admit it: I'm superstitious. I refuse to craft any more Scorpion Harnesses while I'm at San d'Oria. Hopefully, I can get another Tanner's Belt soon.
    Lyonheart
    lvl 75 WAR, 75 BST, 75 BLM, 75 NIN, 47 SCH
    Cooking 100.0+3+3, Culinarian's Signboard, Raw Fish Handling, Noodle Kneading, Patissier
    Fishing 60

    Lakiskline
    Bonecrafting 100.0+3+3,
    Leather 60+2, Woodworking 60, Alchemy 60
    Smithing 60, Clothcraft 55, Goldsmithing 54.1, Cooking 11
    Boneworker's Signboard, Bone Purification, Bone Ensorcellment, Filing, Lumberjack, Chainwork

  • #2
    Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

    8 HQ's out of 35 successes is about right for the HQ average, or about 23% HQ average atm. 5 Fails out of 40 attempts is about 1 fail too many at this point, or over the average. I would bet more than likely your next 10 synths will not fail.
    Woodworking 100+3
    Smithing 100+3
    Bonecraft 99+1
    Goldsmithing 100+3
    Leather 100+1
    Cloth 82

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

      So 1 failure in 10 attempts is the average you expect, Mike? I've seen other posts where people estimate around 1 failure in 20 attempts. Maybe I've just been lucky for a long stretch, and got profoundly unlucky the last few days.

      I'm still going to avoid SH attempts in Sandy though
      Lyonheart
      lvl 75 WAR, 75 BST, 75 BLM, 75 NIN, 47 SCH
      Cooking 100.0+3+3, Culinarian's Signboard, Raw Fish Handling, Noodle Kneading, Patissier
      Fishing 60

      Lakiskline
      Bonecrafting 100.0+3+3,
      Leather 60+2, Woodworking 60, Alchemy 60
      Smithing 60, Clothcraft 55, Goldsmithing 54.1, Cooking 11
      Boneworker's Signboard, Bone Purification, Bone Ensorcellment, Filing, Lumberjack, Chainwork

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

        I don't have my exact numbers, but I'm like 53 HQ / 147 with 15 failures. I'm pretty certain 10% is failure rate. In all my crafts so far I've never averaged higher than 10% failure.
        Woodworking 100+3
        Smithing 100+3
        Bonecraft 99+1
        Goldsmithing 100+3
        Leather 100+1
        Cloth 82

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

          Wow, your HQ rate is better than 1/3rd. If I were HQing at that rate, I'd probably be less concerned about 10% failure rate.

          Oh, who am I kidding. Even if my HQ rate was 99.9%, I'd still hate that .1% failure rate. Stupid half-empty glass!
          Lyonheart
          lvl 75 WAR, 75 BST, 75 BLM, 75 NIN, 47 SCH
          Cooking 100.0+3+3, Culinarian's Signboard, Raw Fish Handling, Noodle Kneading, Patissier
          Fishing 60

          Lakiskline
          Bonecrafting 100.0+3+3,
          Leather 60+2, Woodworking 60, Alchemy 60
          Smithing 60, Clothcraft 55, Goldsmithing 54.1, Cooking 11
          Boneworker's Signboard, Bone Purification, Bone Ensorcellment, Filing, Lumberjack, Chainwork

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

            If I were to listen to anyone about crafting, it would be mike.
            Thanks Kazuki.
            Dragoon Equipment

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

              I had an even higher HQ rate. Just the last 3 days or so I HQ'd 0, NQ'd 14ish straight, and lost 2 claws to bring me closer to my averages you see mentioned.

              The system is forcing me to pay back from my good fortune now lol.
              Woodworking 100+3
              Smithing 100+3
              Bonecraft 99+1
              Goldsmithing 100+3
              Leather 100+1
              Cloth 82

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

                My friend Lothriel(high-level boneworker) used to say that those claws break easily. I know she lost a lot trying to make scorpys one day(aww man the claws broke!)...
                Shadowneko's FFXI Newbie Guide 2009
                (have fun MMO players ^^)
                Jon Davies AKA: Shadowneko of Midradsomr...soon to be transferred to Quetzalcoatl

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Maybe the game is telling me to quit crafting...

                  My friend Lothriel(high-level boneworker) used to say that those claws break easily. I know she lost a lot trying to make scorpys one day(aww man the claws broke!)...
                  Prevailing wisdom is that certain recipes have a special property such that a failure results in a particular ingredient being lost 100% of the time. Scorpion Harness / Venomous Claw seems to be one such example.
                  Lyonheart
                  lvl 75 WAR, 75 BST, 75 BLM, 75 NIN, 47 SCH
                  Cooking 100.0+3+3, Culinarian's Signboard, Raw Fish Handling, Noodle Kneading, Patissier
                  Fishing 60

                  Lakiskline
                  Bonecrafting 100.0+3+3,
                  Leather 60+2, Woodworking 60, Alchemy 60
                  Smithing 60, Clothcraft 55, Goldsmithing 54.1, Cooking 11
                  Boneworker's Signboard, Bone Purification, Bone Ensorcellment, Filing, Lumberjack, Chainwork

                  Comment

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